EURO 2021 Final Betting Tips: Italy v. England

Home » EURO 2021 Final Betting Tips: Italy v. England

It is finally time for the EURO 2020 Final in London at Wembley Stadium. England will have a massive home-field advantage going into this game and the fans will be going absolutely crazy. A solid and slightly boring Three Lions take on a counter-attacking Azzurri at 21:00 CET – who wins this final? Below we take a look at predicted lineups.

Expected Line-up England: Jordan Pickford; Kyle Walker, John Stones, Harry Maguire, Luke Shaw; Kalvin Phillips, Declan Rice; Bukayo Saka, Mason Mount, Raheem Sterling; Harry Kane.

Expected Line-up Italy: Gianluigi Donnarumma; Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Leonardo Bonucci, Giorgio Chiellini, Emerson Palmieri; Nicolò Barella, Jorginho, Marco Verratti; Federico Chiesa, Ciro Immobile, Lorenzo Insigne.

Tonight we will do four bets in total, all with different kinds of odds. We expect a game where England has the ball a lot early but Italy creates the biggest chances and perhaps scores an early goal. England will get back and take over in the second half. So what are our betting picks for the EURO 2021-final? See below for all four predictions.

Bet number 1: Italy Lifts The Trophy @ 2.02 odds on Expekt.

A nice bet for the final is an underdog bet with Italy to lift the trophy – which seems very solid given the history. England has a lot of young players that have never been in an international final before and the pressure that comes with playing at home in front of 60.000+ fans might be a step too much. The Italians have looked super impressive throughout the whole EURO 2021 and will hopefully finish the job here.  

Why bet on this tip?

  • Italy have looked more impressive overall in the tournament.
  • All the pressure is on England
  • Italy should be favorites here

Bet number 2: Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.88 odds on Expekt.

The card-plays have not been a good success in the euros at all, with cards being given at a very low rate even in the playoffs. However, in a final like this I think tensions are going to be at an all-time high and we might see a whole lot of cards being dealt out here. I like the Italy To Win play more due to the low amount of cards so far, but this is for sure playable.

Why bet on this tip?

  • Very high odds to be a final game
  • Nothing to lose if carded
  • Tensions will be very high

Bet Number 3: HT/FT – 1X @ 14.00 odds on Expekt.

This one is a win if Italy wins first H and then the game ends in a draw. The big gamble of the match will be this bet at 14x your stake on Expekt (and others). There are two things that make me like this bet: Italy have looked superb early in games, while England have looked superb late in games. I definitely see a scenario where Azzurri takes the lead early on and holds it until HT, with England taking over completely in the second half and equalizing. The odds of 14.00 are too good not to try!

Why bet on this tip?

  • Italy have looked great early but tired late in games
  • England have looked bad early but great late in games
  • Very high chance of the game ending in a draw

Bet Number 4: Chiesa Over 1.5 Shots @ 1.66 odds in Expekt.

Chiesa shoots on EVERYTHING, and he has passed this line in 3/3 last games. He had three shots against Austria, five shots against Belgium and two shots against Spain – why would he not get at least two rockets off against England? Odds might be low but this one seems very, very solid. 

Why bet on this tip?

  • Chiesa has managed at least two shots p/g in all playoff games
  • Chiesa shoots on everything
  • Will get shooting opportunities almost every counterattack 

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